Monday 2 February 2015

Aswath Damodaran's Valuation Online Class


This is a course of 25 short webcasts (about 12-20 minutes apiece), designed both to capture what I do in my regular semester-long valuation class and to supplement my books on valuation. With each session, you can download slides for that session and a post-class test to go with it (and solutions). If you have my book, the relevant sections of the book are highlighted. The first part are the webcast related to the class and the second part are tools webcasts, designed to help you apply the concepts to real companies. The class webcasts are on YouTube and you will need to be online, to watch them. The in-practice webcasts are downloadable to your computer or device and can be watched at your convenience. I have also created a version of this class on iTunes U, and you can get to that class by clicking here.

Class Webcasts

 
Session Webcast
Short Description
Supplementary Material
Inv Valuation (3rd Edition)
1
Introduction to valuation
Lays out the rationale for doing valuation as well as the issues of bias, complexity and uncertainty that bedevil it.
1.     Slides
Preface, Chapter 1
2
Sets up the foundations of intrinsic valuation, with a contrast between valuing a business and valuing the equity in that business.
1.     Slides
Chapter 2
3
The Risk Free Rate
Sets up the requirements for a rate to be risk free and the estimation challenges in estimating that rate in different currencies.
1.     Slides
Chapter 7
4
The Equity Risk Premium
Contrasts different approaches for estimating equity risk premiums in mature markets and extends these approaches to emerging markets and then to individual companies.
1.     Slides
Chapter 7
5
Betas - Relative Risk Measures
Describes what a beta tries to measure and after critiquing the standard regression approach to beta estimation, I develop an approach for estimating betas for individual companies.
1.     Slides
Chapter 8
6
Defines debt and cost of debt and then uses those measures to arrive at the cost of capital for a company.
1.     Slides
Chapter 8
7
Goes through the steps in estimating cash flows, from measuring earnings to computing reinvestment and then on to cash flows (to both the firm and to equity).
1.     Slides
Chapter 9,10
8
Estimating Growth
Looks at alternative approaches to estimating expected growth, including past growth and analyst estimates, as well as fundamental growth.
1.     Slides
Chapter 11
9
It is the biggest number in any discounted cash flow valuation, and we look at simple rules that keep it in check.
1.     Slides
Chapter 12
10
Looks at the drivers of value and how management actions can alter the value of a firm, for better or worse.
1.     Slides
Chapter 31
11
Loose Ends in Valuation
To get from operating asset value to equity value, we have to deal with cash, cross holdings and other assets first, then net out debt.
1.     Slides
Chapter 16
12
Acquisition Ornaments: Synergy, Control & Complexity
Look at the value of control and synergy, oft used reasons for acquisitions, as well as the consequences of complexity for value.
1.     Slides
Chapter 25
13
Loose Ends in Valuation: Distress, Dilution & Illiquidity
Look at how best to incorporate the effects of distress, dilution and ill liquidity into the value per share for a company
1.     Slides
Chapter 22, 23
14
Relative Valuation - First Principles
Develop a four-step process for deconstructing, understanding and using multiples.
1.     Slides
Chapter 17
15
PE Ratios
Look at the determinants of PE ratios and how to use them in comparisons across time, markets and companies.
1.     Slides
Chapter 18
16
Extend the discussion to look at operating earnings and EBITDA multiples and their determinants.
1.     Slides
Chapter 18
17
Look at the variables that cause book value multiples (price to book and EV to Investment Capital) to vary across companies and time.
1.     Slides
Chapter 19
18
Revenue Multiples
Examine why companies trade at different multiples of revenues in different businesses and the determinants of these values.
1.     Slides
Chapter 20
19
Asset Based Valuation
Look at valuation approaches (accounting book value, sum of the parts) that value the assets of a business and aggregate up to value.
1.     Slides
 
20
Examine the estimation challenges associated with valuing small or large privately-owned businesses.
1.     Slides
Chapter 24
21
Lay the foundations for viewing and valuing some assets as options and how it adds to their values
1.     Slides
Chapter 28
22
Use option pricing technology to value unexercised options and undeveloped natural resource reserves.
1.     Slides
Chapter 28
23
The Option to Expand & Abandon
Look at how the option to expand into new markets/products can add value to young growth companies and the option to abandon investment can create value for flexible companies.
1.     Slides
Chapter 29
24
Distressed Equity as an Option
Examine how equity in troubled firms with large debt burdens can behave like options, with implications for investing and corporate finance.
1.     Slides
Chapter 30
25
Closing Thoughts
Wrapping up valuation, with closing thoughts.
1.     Slides
Chapter 34



Valuation Tools

While it is nice to talk about the big picture of valuation , and I do, in my classes, it is the nuts and bolts issues that trip us up. In this section, I will be posting webcasts that can help you navigate some of these nuts and bolts questions.
TopicDescriptionWebcastSupporting material
Getting dataBefore you can do valuations and process information, you have to first collect the information. In this webcast, I look at ways to get information on a company's filings, macro economic indicators and sector-wide data.Webcast
  1. SEC website
  2. SEC Live
  3. FRED (Federal Reserve)
From financial disclosures to valueMuch of the raw material (data) that we use for valuation comes from annual reports and financial filings. (10, 10Q). In this presentation, I lay out a template for extracting information from these filings, separating the stuff that matters from the stuff that does not, using P&G in September 2012 as an illustration.Webcast 
  1. Presentation
  2. P&G: 10K
  3. P&G: Valuation (Excel spreadsheet)
Creating a trailing 12-month financial statementWhen valuing a business, you want the most updated information you can find. But what if your most recent annual report or 10K is several months old? The solution is to create a trailing 12-month financial statement.Webcast
  1. Apple: 10K
  2. Apple: 10Q
  3. Apple Trailing 12-month (spreadsheet)
Estimating an implied equity risk premiumI have been a strong proponent of implied equity risk premiums, forward looking estimates that are extracted by looking at stock prices today and expected cash flows in the future. While I have an implied equity risk premium spreadsheet on my website, I try to get some of the mystery out of both the process and the inputs in this webcast.Webcast
  1. Presentation
  2. Spreadsheet
  3. S&P 500 on buybacks
  4. S&P 500 earnings
Leases and DebtAccounting standards allow companies to classify some leases as operating leases, primarily based upon the degree of ownership vested in the lessee. Operating lease expenses are treated as operating expenses, not financial expenses. The sensible thing to do is to convert lease commitments to debt. In the process, though, you have to redo your financial statements.Webcast 
  1. Disney Annual Report
  2. Converting leases to debt (spreadsheet)
Capitalizing R&DR&D is the ultimate cap ex, if you define capital expenditures as investments designed to create benefits over many years. Accountants incorrectly treat R&D as operating expenses. The logical fix is to convert R&D from an operating to capital expenses, though this will also lead to a restatement of both the income statement and the balance sheet.Webcast 
  1. Microsoft: 10K for 2012
  2. Microsoft: 10K for 2011
  3. Converting R&D to capital (spreadsheet)
ROIC and ROE: The "only" valuation numbers that mattersThe return on invested capital is more than an accounting number. If computed right, it measures what a firm is generating as a return on its existing projects and provides a key indicator (though not always a definitive one) of what it will generate on future investments. That, in turn, will determine how much value growth will add (or destroy) in the company. If you don't know this number for a company, your valuation has no moorings.WebcastWalmart 10K (2013)
Walmart 10K (2012)
Spreadsheet
Terminal Value CheckThe terminal value is a "big" number in DCF valuation, but it is subject to misuse and manipuluation. In this session, I take a look at how you can detect problems with a terminal value computation (in both your own DCFs and in other people's DCFs)WebcastSample DCF valuation
Terminal value analyzer
Employee OptionsWhen a company uses options to compensate employees or to pay suppliers, it saves itself cash that it would have used otherwise but it does "dilute" the value of the equity held by common stockholders. When valuing a company with a significant option overhang, the right thing to do is to value the options as options and subtract that value from the estimated value of equity, before dividing by the number of shares outstanding.WebcastCisco 10K
Option spreadsheet
EV, Firm Value and Equity Value
The "value" embedded in a multiple can be the value of the entire firm, the value of its operating assets (enterprise value) or the value of the equity. In this webcast, we look at the differences between the three and why you may use one over the other.WebcastBlog post on topic
Presentation
Excel spreadsheet
Multiples and Fundamentals - Analyzing relationships
When asked the value a company, relative to other companies, one of the biggest challenges you face is in assessing and analyzing the data. In this presentation, I looks at steps in analysis.Webcast
  1. Presentation
  2. Bank raw data
  3. Descriptive Statistics
Valuing Patents as Options
The exclusive rights to produce a product or provide a service can provide the owner with "optionality", allowing for a premium on top of a discounted cash flow value. In this webcast, I look at a simplified example.Webcast
  1. Presentation
  2. Spreadsheet
Valuing Distressed Equity as an Option
With money-losing companies, with a lot of debt, equity takes on the characteristics of a call option (to liquidate the business). In this webcast, I look at the mechanics of applying this approach to a troubled company.Webcast
  1. Jet India Financials
  2. Jet DCF valuation
  3. Jet Option valuation

 



http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_Home_Page/webcastvalonline.htm

2 comments:

  1. Hi intelligent investor. I was browsing through your blog and I couldn't find any writeups on step to step to do DDM valuation? Can you kindly provide me if you have any? and i would really appreciate if you can give me your latest template too. my email is you_ung90@hotmail.com
    Thanks a lot

    ReplyDelete
  2. You may refer to DDM section on The Best Stock Valuation Method http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.my/2014/07/the-best-stock-valuation-method.html

    Or, you can refer to the excel template http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.my/2014/07/dividend-discount-model-ddm-on.html

    And, various sample
    - http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.my/2014/08/ddm-valuation-on-gab-3255.html
    - http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.my/2014/07/dividend-discount-model-ddm-for-apollo.html
    - http://intelligentinvestor8.blogspot.my/2014/07/dividend-discount-model-ddm-for-lonbisc.html

    ReplyDelete