[1] Defensive Stock
Summarized from Chapter 14 of The Intelligent Investor - Stock Selection for the Defensive Investor:- Not less than $100 million of annual sales. [Note: This works out to $500 million today based on the difference in CPI/Inflation from 1973]
- [A] Current assets should be at least twice current liabilities. [B] Long-term debt should not exceed the net current assets.
- Some earnings for the common stock in each of the past 10 years.
- Uninterrupted [dividend] payments for at least the past 20 years.
- A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings in the past 10 years.
- Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings.
- Current price should not be more than 1-1⁄2 times the book value.
Based on (6) and (7),
- Price < 15 * EPS
- Price < 1.5 * NAPS
- Price ^ 2 < 15 * EPS * 1.5 * NAPS
- Price ^ 2 < 22.5 * EPS * NAPS
- Price < (22.5 * EPS * NAPS) ^ 0.5
Or alternately,
(22.5*EPS*Book Value) ^ 0.5 > Stock Price
22.5 * EPS * Book Value > Stock Price ^ 2
22.5 * EPS * Book Value > Stock Price * Stock Price
22.5 > Stock Price * Stock Price * 1/EPS * 1/Book Value
22.5 > P/E * Price/Book
Graham Number is designed to quantitatively assess any stock that meets the Defensive qualitative requirements, regardless of sector or industry.
- A public utility company that is typically low on Earnings will need a higher than average asset figure to justify its price.
- A Financial Services company that is typically low on assets will need a higher than average Earnings figure to be an acceptable investment.
[2] Enterprising Stock
This is for For Enterprising investors who are looking for greater profits - and are willing to put in more effort into the maintenance of their portfolioSummarized from Chapter 15 of The Intelligent Investor - Stock Selection for the Enterprising Investor: [Note: For issues selling at P/E multipliers under 10]
- [A] Current assets at least 1 1⁄2 times current liabilities. [B] Debt not more than 110% of net current assets.
- Earnings stability: No deficit in the last five years covered in the Stock Guide.
- Dividend record: Some current dividend.
- Earnings growth: Last year's earnings more than those of 1966. [Note: Corresponds to the earnings of 5 years ago]
- Price: Less than 120% net tangible assets.
Price ^ 2 < 1.2 * NAPS * 10 * EPS
Price < (12 * NAPS * EPS) ^ 0.5
or
12 > P/EPS * P/NAPS
It applies to any stock that meets the Enterprising qualitative requirements, regardless of sector or industry, because it's a combination of both Assets and Earnings. A lower value in one will have to be compensated for by a higher value in the other.
Serenity's recommendation is for a minimum portfolio size of 20 for Enterprising stocks, or in other words, not more than 5% of total investment per Enterprising stock.
[3] NCAV or Net-Net Stock
This is for investors who were willing to put in the most effort into the maintenance of their portfolio.Summarized from Chapter 15 of The Intelligent Investor - Stock Selection for the Enterprising Investor:
- "Bargain Issues, or Net-Current-Asset Stocks"
- "...price less than the applicable net current assets alone - after deducting all prior claims, and counting as zero the fixed and other assets."
- "...eliminated those which had reported net losses in the last 12-month period."
NCAV = (Current Asset - Total Liabilities) / NOSH
Click here for detail write up on Graham NCAV and NNWC
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