Thursday, 3 July 2014

Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for LONBISC


EPS9.00
DPS1.00
Discount Rate15%

 (1) You think that company B’s EPS will be stagnant for the rest of its economic life. What is the fair price per share of company B based on its latest EPS?

Intrinsic Value0.067

(2) Based on a constant growth of 5% of its dividend for the rest of its economic life.What is the fair price of stock B based on the Gordon dividend growth model?

Intrinsic Value0.100

(3) You foresee that company B will turnaround soon and its EPS will be growing for the next 5 years and its dividend will grow too. You make a bold assumption that its dividend, DPS will grow at 50% for the next 5 years, and then 5% subsequently.  What is the intrinsic value of stock B based on a two-stage dividend growth model?


DPS1.52.253.3755.06257.5937579.734375
PV1.3043478261.7013232512.2191172842.8945008063.77543583434.47137066
Intrinsic Value0.464





(4) You are now thinking about investing in stock B for 5 years and sell it at the end of 5 years. Assuming dividend grows for the first 5 years as question 3 above at 50% and at the end of 5 years; you are able to sell the stock at a price 10 times its earnings. What is the intrinsic value?



12345
DPS1.52.253.3755.06257.59375
PV for DPS1.3043478261.7013232512.2191172842.8945008063.775435834






EPS13.520.2530.37545.562568.34375






Stock Price @ end of 5th year
6.834375


Stock Price @ today value
3.39789225


Intrinsic Value
3.517





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References:-

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