Friday, 23 May 2014

Forecast Earning via Common Size Analysis

  • From horizontal common size analaysis, identify
    • Growth Rate for Revenue & COGS (Using few year average or CAGR)
    • Identify the % of expenses in relation to revenue e.g. R&D, SG&A
    • Identify fixed rate expenses e.g. SG&A, Depreciation
  • And perform estimation on next year earning, e.g.

    • Revenues Growth rate to be estimated
      Cost of sales 60 percent of revenues
      Research and development 8.3 percent of revenues
      Selling, general and administrative Previous year SGA times (1 + (75 percent of the revenue growth rate)

References:-

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