- 5 sources of moats
- The network effect
- Customer switching costs
- Intangible assets
- Efficient scale
- Cost advantage
- The network effect
- when you have customers that start using a network, that network suddenly becomes more valuable for all the other users of the network
- e.g. eBay - It has the most buyers, and therefore it has the most sellers.
And it has the most sellers because it has the most buyers. - e.g. Facebook - When you or I join Facebook, Facebook suddenly becomes more valuable for all of our friends and as more of our friends join Facebook, it's more valuable for us.
- Infrastructure: We move our stuff faster, cheaper and more reliable than you. E.g. Visa (V) or MasterCard (MA)
- Customer switching costs
- These are the inconveniences that customers would have when they switch from one product to another
- Time is money and money is time. It may not cost money to switch from one service provider to another, but if it costs time that's the same thing.
- Intangible assets
- These are things like patents, basically an explicit monopoly, government licenses that explicitly block competition.
- Or [this can be a source] if a company has a strong brand that allows it some pricing power for that particular brand.
- Patents: Even if you wanted to, you legally can’t do what we do. e.g. APPL
- Branding: We are trusted to do the job and you’re not. e.g. KO
- Efficient scale
- You have a limited market that is being efficiently served by one or a very small number of competitors.
- Some markets are just natural monopolies or natural oligopolies.
- E.g. airport companies like the Mexican airports - it doesn't make economic sense to have more than one
- Geography: We have our stuff in the right places and you don’t. E.g. Union Pacific Railroad
- Cost Advantage
- A company that can provide a better service at a lower cost than the competition.
- A fatter profit margin or the same profit margin as the competitors
- Higher volume and higher asset turnover.
- Economies of Scale: We’re so big, not using us will cost you. e.g. Wal-Mart
- Low Cost Resource Base
- The moats are not impenetrable. But it still makes life easier when you have a moat.
- Union Pacific Railroad still has to compete with trucks.
- Visa and MasterCard compete against cash, PayPal,
- Apple’s patents are constantly challenged and becoming obsolete at a rapid pace.
- Coke can easily fall out of favor.
- Wal-Mart is in a constant price war with Target and other retailers.
- How to identify moat? Look for Gross Margin
- [1] consistency [2] the higher the better
- Company only able to charge premium price when customer willing to pay for the value added product / service.
- It cannot be replicate by the competitor, else it it becomes a price battleground.
- Wide Moat
- Intagible assets - health care (patents) & consumer sectors (brands) - the best returns on capital.
- Look for the sustainability and not the absolute level.
- Random fashion retailer that happens to get lucky, hit some fashion trend and has a 50% return on capital for a year or two..
- Railroad or a pipeline, 10% ROC - the sustainability of that return is exceptionally long
- Narrow Moat
- Efficient scale - lowest ROC. They have a moat because of positive economic profits, and thus attract new competition into market.
- Stability of earnings
- Network effect company have the least stability in term of their earnings.
- Cost advantage & intagible asset firms did relatively well.
Monday, 19 May 2014
Moat
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