Wednesday 28 May 2014

Return in Invested Capital (ROIC)

  • ROE is a important indicators of a firm’s profitability and potential growth
    • There are some pitfalls of using ROE for measuremen - ROE can be increased with debt. 
  • ROIC corrects ROE's problem - looks at all moneys (by shareholder and lender) invested into company and how much profit the management can generate.
  • It is arguably the best way to determine if a company has a moat.
  • Investor focused on earnings growth and not ROIC would miss the fact that the earning growth was generated by how much capital (include debt).
  • It is very useful as comparisons among companies within sectors. Highest ROIC = making more profits from every dollar invested - often show the biggest share price gain (shown by Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula)
  • Formula
    • ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital 
    • NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax = Operating Income * (1 – Tax Rate)
    • !!! Operating Profit (aka EBIT) -  not include items such as investments in other firms, taxes, interest expenses and other nonrecurring items  
    • Invested Capital = Total equity and equity equivalent + total debt – excess cash and investments
    • Excess cash  -  cash of a company has that is not required to operate the business. (1) interest income is not part of Operating Income (2) if company with significant cash balance - the divided result might yield too low
    • or, we take the total asset and minus out non interest bearing liabilities
      Invested Capital =  Total Asset - Non Interest bearing current liabilities - Excess Cash
    • =Fixed Assets + Current Assets – Non-interest bearing Current Liabilities – Excess Cash
    • = Fixed Assets + Non-cash Working Capital
    •  Non Interest bearing current liabilities  -  account payable (it is capital invested in the business by a company’s suppliers or contractors, not the company itself), deffered revenue and deffered tax.
    • Long term investment - it is not operating assets and should be excluded
    • Some people deduct goodwill from total assets as it is financial capital, not operating capital. If we do so, the amortization of goodwill need to add back to operating income.
  •  Use of ROIC
    • If company ROIC > 15% for number of years - it most likely has a moat.
    • But a positive spread between ROIC and WACC alone doesn't justify an economic moat. Investors also have to think about the qualitative attributes--high barriers to entry, huge market share, low-cost production, corporate culture, patents, or high customer switching costs--that create an economic moat around a company's profits. 
    • Compare the efficiencies of companies using ROIC in the same industry to determine which is a better one to invest in. 
    • ROIC can also be compared to the firm’s cost of capital to conclude whether the firm has collectively invested in good projects. - A company creates value only if its ROIC is higher than itsWACC.
  • Cost of Capital
    • When company raise capital from owners or lenders, the investor require a return on their investment.
    • Stable and predictable company will have a low cost of capital, while a risky company with unpredictable cash flows will have a higher cost of capital.
    • Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) - all capital sources - common stock, preferred stock if any, bonds and any other debt - are included the calculation.  
    • WACC = E/V * Re + D/V * Rd * (1 -Tc)
      • E = Market Value of Equity
      • D = Market \ Book Value of Debt
      • V = Total Value of Firm = E + D
      • Re = Required return of equity holders
      • Rd = Required return of debt holders
      • Tc = Tax rate (cost of debt is tax deductible) 
  • Cash-on-cash returns are what we're looking for in calculating ROIC. We're trying to look past distortions that come from accounting conventions. Accounting is a rules-based system that allows for a number of choices that can be made by financial managers and approved by auditing firms and distort a company's true economic earnings.

References:-

2 comments:

  1. hi II, how to get tax rate Tc? are Re and Rd (required return of equity holder and debt holder) are assume or have any formula to calculate?

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    Replies
    1. Tax Rate

      (1) You can get from the financial note, or
      (2) compute it Tax/Profit Before tax

      Re = What is the return required by you (the shareholder) as the equity holder

      Rd = interest rate from debt provider - namely the bank

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