- ROE is a important indicators of a firm’s profitability and potential growth
- There are some pitfalls of using ROE for measuremen - ROE can be increased with debt.
- ROIC corrects ROE's problem - looks at all moneys (by shareholder and lender) invested into company and how much profit the management can generate.
- It is arguably the best way to determine if a company has a moat.
- Investor focused on earnings growth and not ROIC would miss the fact that the earning growth was generated by how much capital (include debt).
- It is very useful as comparisons among companies within sectors. Highest ROIC = making more profits from every dollar invested - often show the biggest share price gain (shown by Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula)
- Formula
- ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax = Operating Income * (1 – Tax Rate)
- !!! Operating Profit (aka EBIT) - not include items such as investments in other firms, taxes, interest expenses and other nonrecurring items
- Invested Capital = Total equity and equity equivalent + total debt – excess cash and investments
- Excess cash - cash of a company has that is not required to operate the business. (1) interest income is not part of Operating Income (2) if company with significant cash balance - the divided result might yield too low
- or, we take the total asset and minus out non interest bearing liabilities
Invested Capital = Total Asset - Non Interest bearing current liabilities - Excess Cash - =Fixed Assets + Current Assets – Non-interest bearing Current Liabilities – Excess Cash
- = Fixed Assets + Non-cash Working Capital
- Non Interest bearing current liabilities - account payable (it is capital invested in the business by a company’s suppliers or contractors, not the company itself), deffered revenue and deffered tax.
- Long term investment - it is not operating assets and should be excluded
- Some people deduct goodwill from total assets as it is financial capital, not operating capital. If we do so, the amortization of goodwill need to add back to operating income.
- Use of ROIC
- If company ROIC > 15% for number of years - it most likely has a moat.
- But a positive spread between ROIC and WACC alone doesn't justify an economic moat. Investors also have to think about the qualitative attributes--high barriers to entry, huge market share, low-cost production, corporate culture, patents, or high customer switching costs--that create an economic moat around a company's profits.
- Compare the efficiencies of companies using ROIC in the same industry to determine which is a better one to invest in.
- ROIC can also be compared to the firm’s cost of capital to conclude whether the firm has collectively invested in good projects. - A company creates value only if its ROIC is higher than itsWACC.
- Cost of Capital
- When company raise capital from owners or lenders, the investor require a return on their investment.
- Stable and predictable company will have a low cost of capital, while a risky company with unpredictable cash flows will have a higher cost of capital.
- Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) - all capital sources - common stock, preferred stock if any, bonds and any other debt - are included the calculation.
- WACC = E/V * Re + D/V * Rd * (1 -Tc)
- E = Market Value of Equity
- D = Market \ Book Value of Debt
- V = Total Value of Firm = E + D
- Re = Required return of equity holders
- Rd = Required return of debt holders
- Tc = Tax rate (cost of debt is tax deductible)
- Cash-on-cash returns are what we're looking for in calculating ROIC. We're trying to look past distortions that come from accounting conventions. Accounting is a rules-based system that allows for a number of choices that can be made by financial managers and approved by auditing firms and distort a company's true economic earnings.
References:-
hi II, how to get tax rate Tc? are Re and Rd (required return of equity holder and debt holder) are assume or have any formula to calculate?
ReplyDeleteTax Rate
Delete(1) You can get from the financial note, or
(2) compute it Tax/Profit Before tax
Re = What is the return required by you (the shareholder) as the equity holder
Rd = interest rate from debt provider - namely the bank