Friday 6 June 2014

ROIC - APOLLO vs LONBISC

I have performed ROE DuPont Analysis on APOLLO vs LONBISC and  make a conclusion that APOLLO is much more efficient than LONBISC as APOLLO have a higher ROE for the pass 5 year which achieved by higher net profit margin, higher asset turnover and low financial leverage.

However, there are some pitfalls of using ROE for measurement as ROE can be increased with debt. And, some might argue that not all of the assets hold by company was contribute to the return. Owing to this, it is good to perform another analysis to evaluate my previous conclusion. On this article, I will perform Retrun on Invested Capital (ROIC) analysis on APOLLO and LONBISCROIC would tell the investor the return of a firm was generated by how much capital (include debt). 

You can refer to the end of this article or the detail calculations. And, the caculcation reveal that
  1. APPOLO generated 42,449 of Operating Income from a Invested Capital of 165,900 while LONBISC only able to generate a operating income of 31,004 eventhough LONBISC invested 595,040 on its capital.
  2. APPOLO's invested capital grew just by about 60% (from 105,187 to 165,900) while LONBISC's invested capital grew substantially from 203,606 to 595,040 (a 192% growth rate)
  3. APOLLO able to achieve ROIC of 19.34% but LONBISC only able to achieve a 4.18% ROIC. And, this is in line with the ROE comparison - 13.94% vs 4.15%
  4. APPOLO's ROIC is about twice of its WACC (10%) while LONBISC ROIC is lesser than its WACC of 8.77%. We need to bear in mind that A company creates value only if its ROIC is higher than itsWACC.
  5. APOLLO's ROIC is on downtred from year 2006 (19.74%) to year 2011 (11.57%) but it has recovered to 19.34% on year 2013. LONBISC's ROIC was dropped from 9.26% (year 2006) to 4.81% (year 2013) and there is no sign of recover. And, LONBISC's ROIC is lower than its WACC most of the time. This show that LONBISC not able to create value to it's shareholder since year 2006.


APOLLO
ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital = EBIT * (1- Tax Rate)/ Invested Capital
Invested Capital = Core Business Asset + Net Working Capital




2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Operating Income
42,449
28,593
22,578
32,249
25,442
24,363
30,105
26,365
NOPAT
32,083
21,741
17,855
24,678
20,918
20,973
24,554
20,761









Trade Account Receivables
36,731
26,222
23,152
20,473
21,296
31,643
21,496
21,202
Other receivables
0
2,643
1,058
1,846
909
6,889
4,867
1,626
Inventories
19,894
17,221
18,867
14,570
12,209
11,529
11,611
11,239
Non-cash Working Capital
56,625
46,086
43,077
36,889
34,414
50,061
37,974
34,067









Trade Account Payable
7,120
3,703
4,291
3,145
1,742
3,639
2,827
2,489
Other payables and accruals
85
3,595
3,539
3,218
3,954
5,635
5,272
3,022
Net Working Capital
49,420
38,788
35,247
30,526
28,718
40,787
29,875
28,556









Property, plant and equipment
115,365
118,105
116,474
98,973
91,195
83,828
79,316
76,631
Prepaid land lease payments
1,115
2,400
2,564
11,649
9,166
9,375
8,882
0
Core Business Asset
116,480
120,505
119,038
110,622
100,361
93,203
88,198
76,631









Invested Capital
165,900
159,293
154,285
141,148
129,079
133,990
118,073
105,187









ROIC
19.34%
13.65%
11.57%
17.48%
16.21%
15.65%
20.80%
19.74%


 

WACC for APOLLO


Share Price
4.86
NOSH
80,000
Market Cap, E
          388,800
Total Debt, D
0
Re
10%
Rd
0.00%
Tax Rate
24.42%
V=E+D
          388,800
WACC=E/V*Re+D/V*Rd(1-tax)
10.00%

LONBISC


2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Operating Income
31,004
28,647
30,392
23,649
25,412
18,046
24,473
24,877
NOPAT
24,882
27,730
28,335
24,282
24,704
20,477
19,850
19,596









Trade Account Receivables
78,174
58,687
45,439
33,531
22,772
15,905
13,679
21,026
Other receivables
13,340
15,198
42,499
20,935
23,223
22,613
28,926
16,206
Inventories
29,114
26,814
33,868
31,563
33,056
18,029
17,315
16,753
Non-cash Working Capital
120,628
100,699
121,806
86,029
79,051
56,547
59,920
53,985









Trade Account Payable
43,014
38,593
48,417
50,177
29,154
22,534
15,631
12,832
Other payables and accruals
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Net Working Capital
77,614
62,106
73,389
35,852
49,897
34,013
44,289
41,153









Property, plant and equipment
517,426
477,402
361,399
348,818
314,627
227,617
190,887
162,453
Prepaid land lease payments
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Core Business Asset
517,426
477,402
361,399
348,818
314,627
227,617
190,887
162,453









Invested Capital (5)
595,040
539,508
434,788
384,670
364,524
261,630
235,176
203,606









ROIC (5)
4.18%
5.14%
6.52%
6.31%
6.78%
7.83%
8.44%
9.62%
 


WACC for LONBISC
Share Price
0.83
NOSH
142,224
Market Cap, E
          118,046
Total Debt, D
263,076
Re
20%
Rd
4.64%
Tax Rate
19.75%
V=E+D
         381,122
WACC=E/V*Re+D/V*Rd(1-tax)
8.77%
 

References:-

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